Based on Edge, Muse, but also touch apps (Photoshop Touch, Viewer, Proto, Ideas). Edge is getting more powerful, with a proper timeline that allows to do very complex animations (the first version was really buggy). Forget Flash banners, this is going to replace Flash for simple animations. A very nice demo of CSS Shaders showed that in the next few months, HTML5 is going to be the standard in animations. I don’t know if this is actually a good thing, even just from a user perspective: flash ads can be banned, the plugin itself desactivated; also, the source is protected as SWF files are compiled. Advertising agencies and studios might not like that trend, as it’s exposing their libraries.
Flash as the console of the web, 2x to 10x faster than FP10. This confirms the transition time for Flash, which is definitively not going to be an animation tool anymore, even if it takes years. Edge is now capable enough to handle that in JS, but the key question here will be the adoption of HTML5 by Microsoft, and when exactly HTML5 is going to be a standard. Keep in mind that HTML4 took 10 years to reach that point. Flash is now evolving to the “console of the web”, promising PS3 quality games on the web, as well as native-like performance on all devices. I will develop on this in another article.